I go back to the days of the Great Northeast Blackout. At that time, much power was being imported from Canada to NYC through Buffalo. Only problem was that Canadian power was not in phase with US power, requiring large phase shifting transformers. At some point in the event these transformers failed and added to the falling dominoes. Besides that, now the Canadians have the same playbook as other leftists and are squandering resources on “green” initiatives.
Nicely done, thank you. Some questions. You said that "New England stands to lose 3,000 megawatts of generating capacity over the next four years — about a tenth of its total capacity. ISO New England, the regional grid operator, assumes in its grid modeling that 4,800 MW of offshore wind capacity will come online by 2032."
1. What is the "quality" of the lost capacity, and is there a plan to replace what will be lost before it is shut down? Losing 10 percent of your capacity while your demand is growing sounds like a surefire sign of big problems on the horizon.
2. Is the assumption of 4.8 GW of wind power in a highly contentious environment reasonable? realistic? Given Vineyard's recent faux pax and the agency shutdown of construction does not speak to the ISO meeting that goal. So, what is its contingency? Does it plan to tell its customers to live with the brownouts?
1) My expectation is that almost all of the lost capacity will be reliable, baseload or dispatchable plants like coal and nuclear. (ISO uses oil a great deal during bad weather, so they might be insane if they try more retirements there). https://www.iso-ne.com/about/what-we-do/in-depth/power-plant-retirements
ISO seems to have a bad habit of assuming that it can import whatever it needs from Canada, so that'll be their first move, assuming there aren't enough oil-fired plants to keep the lights on.
thank you for the information. Losing 3,000 MW of reliable capacity, only to replace it with 4,000 MW of intermittent capacity must be a frightening prospect. They are doing that in the midwest as well. Scares hell out of me!!!
having gone to school in Boston, it will certainly be interesting when they run out of power how the government explains it to a freezing populace. but I would not be surprised to see a Trump election victory and the EPA rule completely abandoned
The EPA's power plant rule will be challenged, and my guess is it will go to the Supreme Court and be ruled unconstitutional. Unfortunately, operators of coal plants right now have to begin planning as if it is going to happen.
I go back to the days of the Great Northeast Blackout. At that time, much power was being imported from Canada to NYC through Buffalo. Only problem was that Canadian power was not in phase with US power, requiring large phase shifting transformers. At some point in the event these transformers failed and added to the falling dominoes. Besides that, now the Canadians have the same playbook as other leftists and are squandering resources on “green” initiatives.
Yes, this is insightful!
Nicely done, thank you. Some questions. You said that "New England stands to lose 3,000 megawatts of generating capacity over the next four years — about a tenth of its total capacity. ISO New England, the regional grid operator, assumes in its grid modeling that 4,800 MW of offshore wind capacity will come online by 2032."
1. What is the "quality" of the lost capacity, and is there a plan to replace what will be lost before it is shut down? Losing 10 percent of your capacity while your demand is growing sounds like a surefire sign of big problems on the horizon.
2. Is the assumption of 4.8 GW of wind power in a highly contentious environment reasonable? realistic? Given Vineyard's recent faux pax and the agency shutdown of construction does not speak to the ISO meeting that goal. So, what is its contingency? Does it plan to tell its customers to live with the brownouts?
Thanks for reading!
1) My expectation is that almost all of the lost capacity will be reliable, baseload or dispatchable plants like coal and nuclear. (ISO uses oil a great deal during bad weather, so they might be insane if they try more retirements there). https://www.iso-ne.com/about/what-we-do/in-depth/power-plant-retirements
2) Offshore wind is faltering (EIA) and I think events like Vineyard Wind will be a wakeup call for folks. It's seeing lots of local opposition. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=62445
ISO seems to have a bad habit of assuming that it can import whatever it needs from Canada, so that'll be their first move, assuming there aren't enough oil-fired plants to keep the lights on.
thank you for the information. Losing 3,000 MW of reliable capacity, only to replace it with 4,000 MW of intermittent capacity must be a frightening prospect. They are doing that in the midwest as well. Scares hell out of me!!!
Thanks again.
The first step has to be ending the green grift.
having gone to school in Boston, it will certainly be interesting when they run out of power how the government explains it to a freezing populace. but I would not be surprised to see a Trump election victory and the EPA rule completely abandoned
The EPA's power plant rule will be challenged, and my guess is it will go to the Supreme Court and be ruled unconstitutional. Unfortunately, operators of coal plants right now have to begin planning as if it is going to happen.
PJM took action due to those retirements
https://www.utilitydive.com/news/ferc-pjm-exelon-transmission-plan-talen-brandon-shores-psc/699410/
https://pjm.com/-/media/library/reports-notices/special-reports/2024/20240503-bess-technical-viability-wagner-and-brandon-shores-retirements-study.ashx
Thank you!!